FINSUM + Magnifi: Ecommerce Will Benefit from This Change to Consumer Spending

April 8, 2021

Consumers spent more at online stores last year than the previous year by a staggering $900 billion according to a Mastercard Economics Institute study. This isn’t very surprising as more shopping was relegated to online retailers due to the pandemic. But what is shocking is that a large share of it is here to stay. The study shows that habits have formed in consumer shopping, and that online deal hunting will remain electronic. Grocers will retain about 70-80% of their online commerce. Even industries more likely to return to pre-pandemic levels, clothing and electronics are expected to keep about 20% of their digital sales.

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FINSUM + Magnifi: Video Game Stock gets Buy Recommendations Across Wall Street

April 8, 2021

Roblox (RBLX) the children's hybrid social media/video game platform received nothing but praise and recommendations to buy from various Wall Street Analysts. Morgan Stanley, BofA, and Truist were vocal advocates of RBLX. Growing revenues were a large part of the fundamentals moving the stock up to $71 up from its March IPO of $45. Additionally, deals with Tencent are moving Roblox into a Chinese market that would vastly grow its clientele. Strike prices range from $78 to $100 as the future looks promising as RBLX plans education, concerts, and movie pairings.

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FINSUM + Magnifi: Pay Attention to This Big Bear Market Warning Sign

April 8, 2021

The stock market has been on one of the most historic recoveries in market history, but hedge funds are holding off on their buying. New data shows that hedge funds have some of the lowest levels of their positions in cyclical markets (energy, finance, tech) in the last decade, but instead are heavy on resilient industries such as healthcare and consumer staples. Hedge funds might be suspicious of how normal the economy will look as vaccines roll out, or that the benefits of the stimulus packages will be short-lived.

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Geothermal Energy

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Geothermal energy is nothing new. It goes back as far as the first century A.D. in Pompei, where baths were heated by hot springs.

And it’s already powering major cities in the modern world. For example, Iceland’s capital city, Reykjavik, which has long been considered one of the cleanest cities in the world, heats 95 percent of its buildings using geothermal energy.

In Paris, the Dogger Aquifer has supplied geothermal heat and hot water since 1970. It currently supplies 210,000 housing units. In mid-2021, drilling is set to begin in Paris on another geothermal well. 

In Munich, officials of the utility company Stadtwerke München (SWM) want to expand the geothermal district to 560,000 households. 

In the US, Boise, Idaho is home to the largest geothermal heating system in the country. The system heats 6 million square feet for only about $1,000 a month, which pays for the electricity to pump it. Boise sits by a unique resource— a geological fault where 177-degree Fahrenheit water rises to the surface in the foothills just outside of town.

But geothermal energy doesn’t require a warm, babbling brook nearby. In fact, “the US already produces 3.7 gigawatts (GW) of geothermal electricity, or enough to power more than 1 million homes,” according to a report by Yale Environment 360.

These days, investors, government sectors, and oil and gas companies are getting on board the geothermal energy potential. Here’s what investors should know. 

What Is Geothermal Energy?

Heat exists in the earth’s mantle around the world, no matter where you are standing. 

That’s because geothermal heat comes from the Earth’s core, where temperatures may reach 4,000-7,000°C. For perspective, the surface of the sun is approximately 5600°C (but at its core can reach more than 15,000,000°C).

While geothermal heat can naturally rise to the earth’s surface water through fissures, cracks and permeable rock, those presentations aren’t necessary to access the energy. Even in locations that don’t have readily available resources that reach the surface, the heat from the earth’s core can still be made accessible. 

This is because deep drilling techniques allow hot water that sits two to three miles below the surface to be pumped and used to heat or to generate electricity.

The fact that geothermal heat is everywhere under our feet means that there is an “enormous untapped potential” for geothermal energy consumption.

Why Invest in Geothermal Energy?

While wind and solar energy might come to mind more quickly when talking about renewables, geothermal could far outpower these. In part that’s because unlike the sun or the wind, geothermal energy is “always on,” per the US Department of Energy. 

Chief Marketing Officer for Baseload Capital, an investment firm in Sweden focusing on geothermal projects, referred to the geothermal industry as “the sleeping giant.” This is because geothermal energy can provide significant energy resources at all hours of the day, combating climate change in a real way. 

According to the US Department of Energy report, GeoVision: Harnessing the Heat Beneath Our Feet, geothermal technology has enormous potential in the US. Instead of electric-powered air conditioners and natural gas-powered heaters, for example, geothermal powered heating and cooling solutions can power American homes.  

In order for geothermal energy to reach its potential in the US, three things have to happen according to the US Department of Energy report: (1) increased access to geothermal resources, (2) reduced costs and improved economics for geothermal projects, and (3) improved education and outreach about geothermal energy. According to the report, by overcoming these technical and financial barriers, electricity generation through geothermal methods could increase 26-fold by 2050, providing 8.5 percent of the United States’ electricity, as well as direct heat.

The US isn’t the only country looking underground to solve energy problems. In Europe, the output of geothermal energy supply could increase eight-fold by 2050, according to the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)

The good news is that when it comes to drilling, oil and gas companies know a lot. They, too, are looking at geothermal energy these days. 

In 2021, oil and gas companies may finally start investing in geothermal.  This is true as geothermal economics begin to improve, and after oil and gas underperformed from 2014 - 2020. Both BP and Chevron, for example, backed a $40 million funding round for Eavor, a Canadian geothermal energy firm, in early 2021. Eavor’s technology offers a closed-loop system that can potentially scale geothermal production, producing “enough heat for the equivalent of 16,000 homes with a single installation.” 

Governments are also backing research around the world. 

In Utah, the Frontier Observatory for Research in Geothermal Energy (FORGE), funded by the US Department of Energy, is an underground research laboratory. It just completed drilling its first well at a 65° angle from vertical reaching true vertical depth of 8,559 feet. The laboratory offers a test environment for future Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS) projects around the world that enable access to geothermal in locations that don’t have babbling warm brooks nearby, but rather require complicated drilling to access geothermal energy. 

Breakthrough Energy Ventures, a fund backed by Bill Gates and other notable billionaires recently invested an additional $30 million in the startup Dandelion Energy, which heats homes with geothermal. 

When it comes to geothermal energy, it is less a matter of if and more a matter of when technology is able to fully harness the energy beneath the surface of the Earth. With the number of potential disruptive and scalable technologies, eager large-scale investors, increasing public knowledge, and climate change imperative, geothermal will be getting more attention in the decades to come. 

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The information and data are as of the April 6, 2021 (publish date) unless otherwise noted and subject to change. This blog is sponsored by Magnifi.  This material is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as individualized investment advice or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities tailored to your needs. This information covers investment and market activity, industry or sector trends, or other broad-based economic or market conditions and should not be construed as investment research or advice. Investors are urged to consult with their financial advisors before buying or selling any securities. Although certain information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy, completeness or fairness. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. This content may not be reproduced or distributed to any person in whole or in part without the prior written consent of Magnifi. As a technology company, Magnifi provides access to tools and will be compensated for providing such access. Magnifi does not provide broker-dealer or custodial services.


FINSUM + Magnifi: Water Crisis Give New Dimension to ESG

April 6, 2021

Two extreme water crises have occurred since the new year and are moving water conservation to the top of the ESG pecking order. Access to clean water during Texas blackouts was a major concern and on the other side of the globe, Taiwan is experiencing a historic drought, detrimental to its semiconductor industry. Most ESG opportunities are centered around greenhouse gas emission, however nine of the ten greatest risk factors for humanity are linked to the water crisis. Many companies couldn’t survive without ample water. The Thomas Schuman Capital U.S. Water Security Index gives its weight to the largest 550 companies by their water footprints and risk exposure. Companies like AT&T or Microsoft are given higher weights. The TSC has outpaced the S&P 500 by over 14% since its inception. The Invesco Water Resources ETF directly invests in purification and conservation companies and has also outpaced the S&P.

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FINSUM + Magnifi: Why Treasuries Could Not Look Worse

April 6, 2021

Q1 ended about as poorly as possible for the treasury market as losses according to ICE indices hit 4.6%, the worst quarter in over 40 years. The losses were highly concentrated on the longer end of the term structure. Inflation-adjusted (real) yields are negative on 10+ year government bonds. And market-implied 5-year inflation expectations are around 2.6% above the Fed’s target. Many would think that corporate bonds would be a reprieve from the losses but they too posted their worst quarter since the financial crisis. However 30-year yields are on an upswing and it may be the time to buy the dip on long-term treasuries.

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FINSUM + Magnifi: BofA Says the Market is Flashing a Big Warning Sign

April 6, 2021

Bank of America’s Sell-side indicator that tracks equity allocation increased to 59.4%. It's the
third month in a row on the rise. This puts it within one percentage point from the bearish sell
sign and its highest level since 2007. This would be contrarian as investors are bullish on stocks
as both S&P 500 and Dow Jones are trading at or near all-time highs. Investors should be
cautious because stimulus and a strong economy are already priced into the market. But
investors looking to hedge might be wise to hold off or look for cyclical or value funds, rather
than a full-blown exit. Although volatility should be expected to resume nonetheless in the
second half of the year as the economy settles back to normal.

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